Income Safety Research
Is NVDY's Distribution Safe?
NVDY currently carries a Distribution Safety Score™ of 21 (Elevated risk), and the score has been declining over the past six months. The main thing weighing on the score is falling payout — distribution -50.0% over the past year. This is a model rating of observed payout data, not proof of distribution coverage or principal safety. Input completeness is high; missing inputs can limit the assessment.
Frequently asked questions
Is NVDY safe?
NVDY has a Distribution Safety Score of 21/100 (Elevated risk), with high input completeness. This model rating is not proof of distribution coverage or principal safety. Review the payout record, total returns, holdings, and missing data; future distributions and prices can fall.
Is NVDY's distribution sustainable?
Model score: NVDY scores 21/100 (Elevated risk) on the Distribution Safety Score, and the score has been declining over the past six months. Cash paid, trailing 12 months: $6.87 per share vs $12.92 the prior twelve months — down 46.9%, on today's share count. Return of capital: The latest Section 19(a) notice estimated 93.4% of one distribution as return of capital — a tax classification for a single payment, not a standing property of the fund. Total return vs cash paid: Since 2023-05-11, total return with distributions reinvested is +360.2% (57.6% annualized), against $41.05 per share paid out. A positive total return means the payout has not, so far, consumed the shares' value on net. Whether that is sustainable depends on the underlying's path and the manager's options overlay, which no score can forecast — treat this as evidence, not a verdict.
What does a NVDY Distribution Safety Score™ mean?
The score summarizes observed payout history, price behavior, structure, and track record under Dividend Vision's rules. It is not a prediction or a guarantee against a future cut, and missing inputs can limit the assessment.
Distribution Safety Score™
Score history
Weekly readings; dashed portions are reconstructed backfill from historical data, solid portions were recorded on the day. Gaps mean the fund was not yet scorable.
What supports the score
- complete inputs — every field the score reads is present
What weighs on the score
- Falling payout (−35 points): Distribution -50.0% over the past year
- Covered price decline (−18.6 points): Share price down 20.9% over 12 months even though distributions kept the total return positive — a slipping price makes the payout harder to sustain
- Long-term price decline (−16 points): Share price has fallen about 18% a year over 3 years — distributions may be returning capital
- Leverage & concentration (−4 points): Tied to a single underlying asset
- Cost / size (−2 points): High 1.09% expense ratio
- Short track record (−1 points): Only 3.3 years of distribution history
- High volatility (−0.4 points): Beta 1.43 — swings more than the market
Is NVDY's distribution sustainable?
"Is NVDY's distribution sustainable?" is the question behind most searches that land here. There is no honest yes/no: an option-income fund's payout is set by the manager each period and funded by premium, gains, or principal in a mix that changes with the underlying. What the data can say is whether the current payout is being earned or eroded:
- Model score. NVDY scores 21/100 (Elevated risk) on the Distribution Safety Score, and the score has been declining over the past six months.
- Cash paid, trailing 12 months. $6.87 per share vs $12.92 the prior twelve months — down 46.9%, on today's share count.
- Return of capital. The latest Section 19(a) notice estimated 93.4% of one distribution as return of capital — a tax classification for a single payment, not a standing property of the fund.
- Total return vs cash paid. Since 2023-05-11, total return with distributions reinvested is +360.2% (57.6% annualized), against $41.05 per share paid out. A positive total return means the payout has not, so far, consumed the shares' value on net.
The sections below show each of those inputs in full — the score's factor breakdown, the payment record, price and NAV trend, return of capital, and drawdowns — so you can weigh them yourself. A high yield that is being paid out of principal is not a cut yet, but it is the pattern that precedes one; see NAV erosion and spotting yield traps.
Distribution history
NVDY has paid 79 distributions since 2023-06-07, totaling $41.05 per share. Trailing-12-month distributions total $6.87 per share, down 46.9% from $12.92 in the prior 12 months. The fund's most recent payments show 1 consecutive declines.
Distribution history through September 17, 2026.
Payments by year
| Year | Payments | Total / share |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | $5.05 |
| 2024 | 12 | $19.53 |
| 2025 | 22 | $12.14 |
| 2026 (year to date) | 38 | $4.34 |
Last 12 payments
| Date | Amount |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | $0.09 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.10 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.10 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.09 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.12 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.10 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.10 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.12 |
| 2026-07-23 | $0.09 |
| 2026-07-16 | $0.10 |
| 2026-07-09 | $0.10 |
| 2026-07-02 | $0.10 |
* 2026 is year-to-date, not a full year.
Price trend and NAV context
Excluding distributions, the share price is -20.9% over one year and -43.9% over three years. The most recent NAV on file is $12.18 (as of date unavailable), and the 52-week trading range is $9.61–$12.96. Falling prices alongside distributions warrant review, but price alone cannot establish payout coverage, tax character, or investment performance. Compare total returns and the fund's reports as well as the pattern covered in NAV erosion.
Dividend Vision does not currently publish a full NAV time series on this page. The price-only readings exclude distributions and are not a NAV total-return series.
Price-return data through September 18, 2026; NAV uses its own date above.
Total return vs distributions
Since inception (2023-05-11), NVDY's total return with distributions reinvested is +360.2% (57.6% annualized). Over the same period it has paid out $41.05 per share in cash distributions — a high headline yield is not the same thing as a high total return, because price change eats into (or adds to) what you keep.
Return of capital
Return of capital (ROC) is a tax classification that generally reduces the shareholder's cost basis. It does not by itself establish an economic loss or identify the cash source. NVDY's latest Section 19(a) notice estimated 93.4% return of capital as of 2026-08-19T08:55:17Z. That figure is a preliminary estimate for one distribution, not Form 1099-DIV and not a standing property of the fund — the next notice can be very different. The fund's annual tax documents are the definitive source. How ROC works — and when it is and isn't a warning sign — is covered in return of capital analysis.
Drawdown and risk
Over the past year NVDY's deepest peak-to-trough decline (max drawdown) was -15.3%. Its beta versus the broad market is 1.43 — see what beta measures.
Volatility, Sharpe, and Sortino require full price-bar history that this page's offline data set does not include, so they are omitted here rather than estimated. The comparison pages compute them from bar data when available.
Price-risk data through September 18, 2026.
Higher-scoring alternatives
Selection criteria: candidates come from the other YieldMax option-income funds covered by this research family, filtered to funds whose current Distribution Safety Score is strictly higher than NVDY's, ranked by score. Never ranked by yield alone.
Methodology, sources, and limits
The Distribution Safety Score is a rules-based 0–100 rating computed by Dividend Vision from a fund's payout history, price behavior, structure, and track record; the full factor list and scoring rules are documented in the methodology article. It describes the current state of observable data. It is not a prediction or a guarantee of future distributions, and nothing on this page is investment advice.
- Score & factor engine: method version 1.6 (score computed September 20, 2026)
- Score history: weekly readings through September 20, 2026; points on or before are reconstructed backfill (shown dashed)
- Distribution history: through September 17, 2026; EODHD series exported 2026-09-19
- NAV point: effective date unavailable; retrieval time is not used as its effective date
- Total returns: through September 18, 2026, computed 2026-09-20 against SPY, QQQ
This page is generated from Dividend Vision's data pipeline and reviewed editorially. Page freshness summary: the newest source date on this page is September 20, 2026. Each figure keeps the field-level date above; this summary does not imply that older fields share it.
How does NVDY behave inside your portfolio?
A fund's safety profile changes in context — overlap, concentration, and income mix shift when it sits next to your other holdings. Upload your portfolio to see its combined Distribution Safety Score and projected income.
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